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Offshore Wind

Offshore wind is a mainstream energy source in Europe and is really taking off in China.

After what it described as a ‘spectacular year’ for offshore wind in 2017, the Global Wind Energy Council (GWEC) anticipates that 2019 will be another record year for offshore wind in Europe but said other markets are also taking now off, not least China.

In the latest issue of its Global Wind Report, GWEC said it expects activity to be concentrated mainly in the UK, with 3.3 GW of new grid-connected capacity between 2018 and 2020, followed by Germany with 2.3 GW, Belgium with 1.3 GW, the Netherlands with 1.3 GW and Denmark with 1.0 GW.

There are 400 MW currently under construction, which are expected to be connected to the grid throughout 2018. Germany will connect turbines from Merkur and Borkum Riffgrund projects in 2018 and Belgium will connect turbines in the Rentel and Norther windfarms. Winning projects of recent tenders in Denmark and the Netherlands are expected to start to connect capacity towards the end of 2018.

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Offshore Wind

In a little more than a decade, South Korea could have offshore wind capacity of 13 GW if ambitious plans laid out in its latest plan for electricity supply and demand come to fruition.

South Korea aims to triple the share of renewables in the country’s power mix by 2030 which translates to adding about 47 GW of new wind and solar capacity, according to the government’s latest draft policy roadmap.

The country will also cut back the share of coal and nuclear in its electricity supply – although not as sharply as expected – under the Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy’s (MOTIE) draft of the Eighth Basic Plan for Electricity Supply and Demand, which provides South Korea’s power development roadmap for the next 15 years.

According to information from the Global Wind Energy Council’s (GWEC’s) latest Global Wind Report, renewables will account for 27.3% of Korea’s total power capacity in 2030, increasing nearly threefold from 9.7% this year. The share of renewables in power generation will increase accordingly from 6.2% now to 20% in 2030.

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Renewable Energy World

Every year at about this time we at the Global Wind Energy Council release our ‘Global Wind Report: Annual Market Update,’ updating our preliminary annual market statistics, surveying the global market, giving snapshots of the most important markets, delving into some key issues facing the wind sector and laying out our projections for the next five years. The report is a combination of statistics, analysis and educated speculation about what the next five years will bring.

As Yogi Berra (or Niels Bohr, or Mark Twain) is alleged to have said, “It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future.” It is indeed. Let’s examine what we know, what we know we don’t know, and what we can’t know.

Former U.S. Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld’s epistemological maunderings provided some grim amusement while recounting the ups and downs of the invasion of Iraq in 2003. He divided the world into knowns, i.e., facts; known unknowns, i.e., those factors which we know will affect the future in as yet unknown ways; and unknown unknowns, i.e., the inevitable surprises the future will throw at us.

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